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2024-12-13 11:49:06

President of the European Central Bank: The euro zone economy continues to be weak and is still preparing to cut interest rates further. On December 12, local time, after the European Central Bank announced its decision to cut all three key interest rates by 25 basis points, President Lagarde of the European Central Bank subsequently held a press conference. She said that the Governing Council of the European Central Bank unanimously agreed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, mainly based on the latest assessment of the current inflationary pressure, future prospects and the transmission degree of monetary policy to the real economy. On the same day, the European Central Bank also released the latest macroeconomic forecast, further lowering its expectations for economic growth in the euro zone. Lagarde said that poor economic development and continued weakness are worrying. She said that trade friction may drag down economic growth, and extensive geopolitical development is one of the upward risks of inflation. In view of the fact that the current economic growth in the euro zone is hit by domestic political instability in various countries, especially large economies such as Germany and France, and may face the threat of punitive tariffs imposed by US President-elect Trump, the European Central Bank is still preparing to cut interest rates further. Lagarde said that the ECB Council is determined to ensure that inflation is sustainable and stable at the medium-term target of 2%. The next interest rate decision is scheduled for January 30, 2025.Smith, Governor of Alberta, a major Canadian oil town: We don't agree to cut oil and gas exports to the United States.It is a "cancer" of the capital market to punish and prevent financial fraud, which destroys the integrity foundation of the capital market and seriously infringes on the legitimate rights and interests of investors. In recent years, the regulatory authorities have further strengthened the punishment of financial fraud and intensified the all-round and three-dimensional accountability. Recently, the relevant person in charge of the Economic Crimes Procuratorate of the Supreme People's Procuratorate said at the "Symposium on Difficult Issues of Legal Identification of Financial Fraud" held by the Law School of Renmin University of China and the Law School of Central University of Finance and Economics that we should adhere to the "zero tolerance" requirement and continue to increase the punishment and prevention of financial fraud. In criminal accountability, we need to grasp three issues. First, under the latest statutory principles, we should strengthen the convergence of execution, and adhere to the principle that "all suspected crimes should be removed, the arrest should be made, and the prosecution should be prosecuted"; Secondly, under the premise of adhering to the strict main tone, the criminal policy of "tempering justice with mercy" should be fully and accurately implemented. Finally, adhere to the whole chain to punish and prevent financial fraud. In the next step, the judicial case-handling organ will further subdivide the situation with relevant departments, improve the lenient and strict standards, and unify the judicial standards for law enforcement. (Securities Daily)


CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.U.S. National Security Adviser Sullivan said that the Israeli elimination of Hamas leaders will also help promote the ceasefire negotiations to achieve results.German two-year bond yields rose by 5 basis points to 2%.


Russia said it cracked down on several Ukrainian military equipment and repulsed Russia's multi-directional attacks. The Russian Defense Ministry issued a war report on the 12th, saying that in the past day, Russian armed forces killed and wounded 1,345 Ukrainian troops and destroyed many Ukrainian military equipment including tanks, armored vehicles and American howitzers. Russian air defense forces shot down four American-made "Haima" rockets and 37 drones of the Ukrainian army. In addition, Russian troops also controlled the "Zarija" settlement in Donetsk. According to the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, there were 203 battles in the frontline area in the past day, and the situation on the frontline remained grim. The Ukrainian air force, missile units and artillery units destroyed many Russian military personnel assembly areas and control points. In the direction of Kharkov, Pokrovsk and Kulahovo, the Ukrainian army repelled many Russian attacks. In addition, the Ukrainian army continued to carry out operations in the Kursk region.Precious metal futures continued to fall, and the main contract of Shanghai Bank fell by nearly 2%, and it is now reported at 7798 yuan/kg; The main contract of Shanghai Gold fell by nearly 1% and is now reported at 623.08 yuan/gram.Market News: Volkswagen Audi will stop production in Brussels before February 28th.

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